Showing posts with label GST. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GST. Show all posts

Thursday, March 11, 2010

我对消费税的看法







我于3月3日举行的《消费税!政府的救星?人民的恶梦?》消费税讲座中,和八打灵再也北区国会议员YB潘检伟和财务规划师曾淑群共同担任主讲人。

在这里和大家分享我当时发表的看法:

其实全世界有143个国家已经推行或实行消费税,而在东南亚,只有马来西亚、汶莱和缅甸还没有推行,而在已经推行的国家当中,不是每个国家是高收入国家,有一些国家的收入甚至比我们的低,例如印尼、菲律宾、斯里兰卡、泰国和越南。

什么时候是最适合推行消费税?

在加拿大和纽西兰,当他们在推行消费税的时候,他们国家的经济可以讲经济不景气,可是在日本,新加坡和澳洲,当他们推行时,他们国家的经济状况是良好。

在消费税推行的利率方面,每一个国家也不一样,最高是澳洲和纽西兰,10%, 最低是新加坡3%,这显示在推行消费税时,没有一个理想的时间或利率。

而我国2009年第四季经济成长率是4.5%, 整年负1.7%,比预料的负成长3%更好。

在2010年,我国经济成长率预料会达到5%,所以估计在2011年推行消费税时,我国的经济成长率应该会比较稳定,何况我国所指定的4%的利率也相对比很多国家低。

为什么我们需要实行消费税?

我看大家都知道,我国需要设立一个新的经济来源,因为不久之后, 我国出口的油会少过进口。

目前油的行业是占了我国40%的收入,所以政府必须设立和开发更多新的经济来源,来缓和/应付油收入下降后的问题。

当我国的收入低过营运开销,那么就会产生赤字,2009年的赤字是7.6%,当赤字一直增加,因为不足够的收入,评级机构(rating agency)会下调我国马币的评级,导致马币有可能贬值。

马币的贬值会造成进口的通膨,这会影响到很多人民,因为我国进口很多日常用品,例如白米、白糖、蔬菜、医药器材、建筑材料。进口的通膨会使到这些货品越来越贵,同时如果那个时候 ,政府不足够收入来维持营运开销,津贴也会减少或废除,那么会增加人民的负担。

有可能做生意的会觉得好,因为如果马币贬值,我国的出口货物会比较便宜。

可是,当政府的赤字一直增加,而马币一直贬值,那我国就需要更多的贷款,这会增加和提高贷款的利息,间接地提高本地商业贷款的利息。

最后,本地货物的价格也会比较贵,那时候人民会面对很大的负担,因为进口和本地的货物都起价。所以,政府需要建立一个新的经济来源。

有些人提议,政府应该增加所得税,尤其是高收入,来增加国家的收入。

如果我们详细的分析,目前,只有15%的工作者需要给所得税,因为在每一年的预算案中,政府都有宣布一系列的措施来减轻我国人民的所得税,例如在2010年的预算案中,我国私人的个人减税(personal relief)已经增加。

之前,政府能够减少所得税,因为政府有其他经济来源。此外,我国也面对人口的老化,估计在2030年,60岁以上的人民会占了我国人口的12%.

而在我国里,高收入家庭不多,在560万家庭里只有4.9%,也就是只有27万4千家庭的收入是每一个月多过1万令吉。
高的所得税也会鼓励更多人逃税,而会有可能恶化人才外流的问题。这种种的理由显示,提高所得税是不适合的。

现在我国都有销售和服务税,消费税主要的目的就是要取代现有的销售及服务税,同时开发一个新的经济来源。

消费税是比较公平,不是每一个服务或货物都有消费税,有些是豁免税的。而消费税是以你的消费为主,这当然是和你经济的能力息息相关。

据我所知,有些人对消费税有误解,他们以为每一个货品在多次的转售后,消费税会不断地增加,使到高过利率,这是错的。当你购买一个1千令吉有消费税的货品,不管他已经转售六或七次,他的利率依然是4%,而消费税是40块。

不管如何,其实现在很多我们购买的货品和服务都有服务税及销售税,商家已经把这些税纳入在他们的货品和服务的售价。

实行消费税会比较透明化,而它的利率也比较低,因为销售税是5%到25%,而服务税是5%。透明是因为当你购买货品的时候,在收据里面会列出来售价和消费税,现在这些资料在销售税方面是没有的。

此外,在现有的服务及销售税,有一些商家可能他们所收的税并没有缴付给政府,那个时候是人民和政府吃亏,而消费税能减少这个问题。

在一方面,消费税也会解决一部分影子经济问题。我问回你们,是否你们相信在我国只有27万4千个家庭是每一个月收入多过1万令吉?当你看很多豪华汽车和贵的屋子都很快卖完,这显示所得税的缺点。

消费税是以消费为主,当这些人消费时,他们就给消费税以增加国家的收入。

政府也在探讨国家的经济和开销,所以,当我国今年的收入预料是减少8.4%, 政府也会采取措施来减低营运开销,预算在2010年会跌至13.7%,以确保赤字能够下降。首相也会在3月尾宣布新的经济模式,以带动我国的经济走向高收入的目标。

而在津贴方面,我国也在探讨如何减少疏漏的问题,和确保需要帮助的人受惠。虽然政府有在开发新的经济来源,例如我国很大力地发展棕油行业,现在棕油的行业出口额大概是600亿,假设利润是50%,税率是26%,那么收入就最多是78亿,少过我国津贴的开销。

所以任何有潜能的行业或项目,可以带来收入,国家都会去研究或实行,这也是消费税被列为其中的项目的原因。

每个政府都不会要推行不讨好人民的政策,可是消费税是目前一个可以增加国家的收入,也不会引发太高的通货膨胀的方法。

现在我们知道的是,政府在宣布执行消费税时,强调基本必需品会免税或零税率,以确保收入低或贫穷的人士的负担不会增加,例如:

• 农业产品,例如新鲜水果和蔬菜,
• 基本食品,例如白米,白糖,食盐,普通面粉和食油,
• 家禽,包括新鲜或冷冻肉,
• 新鲜蛋,咸蛋,
• 本地用户头200个单位的电流供应,
• 本地用户头35立方米单位的水,
• 私人教育服务,
• 私人卫生服务,
• 公共交通系统,例如电动火车,轻快铁,单轨火车
• 其他交通服务例如长途巴士,工厂巴士和学生巴士,
• 收费大道,
• 住家,
• 农业地,
• 普通土地例如墓地。

详细的指南还没有被公布,而在这方面政府必须小心地确保指南方面有考虑到种种的因素。

政府也宣布会提呈反暴利法案,避免商家在政府推行消费税时,乘机提高他们的货品价格来增加利润。这个法案也对我们很重要,尤其是在政府调整津贴时。

虽然政府实行消费税,不过政府还会依然继续提供津贴,来协助贫穷人士。预算在2010年,政府的津贴花费是200亿。
虽然消费税是有他的好处,可是如果在实行方面不完善,太仓促,就会带来不好的影响和问题,而人民也会混乱。

很多中小企业很担心,是否他们有足够的时间来准备消费税的推行,因为很多中小企业没有足够的资金或成本,来请专业会计师来处理消费税的事务。

所以政府在推行前,应该举行多一点讲座会,讨论会,以确保中小企业能够得到更多的资讯。消费税对每一个工业的影响是不一样,所以这些讲座会必须以工业的需求来举办。

现在提议是,每年生意的收入多过50万令吉都要给消费税,在这方面,政府应该讨论增加到100万令吉,因为收入一年50万令吉,每个月的收入只有5万令吉,这些中小企业可能没有足够的资金或人力来应付消费税。

目前的资料是不足够给人民或商家更了解或准备消费税的实行。我们所知道的太少,政府还没有公开消费税的详细法案,有关资料要尽快发放给人民,来讨论和了解。而如果有什么意见,政府也应该考虑来确保消费税推行时,大家能够接受。

据我了解,政府已经对消费税所对人民产生的影响作一个研究,而根据研究,消费税会对高收入和低收入的人带来好处。问题是大多数的人都不知道调查的内容,所以政府应该透明化以确保人民了解更多消费税的影响。

总结来讲,消费税推行以取代服务税和销售税是有它的好处,但是在执行方面,如果不完善,太仓促,它还是会有反效果。

要实行消费税,政府需要快速地:
(a)公布调查报告,
(b)公布豁免的指南,
(c)举办研讨会协助中小企业
(d)发放更多详细的资料给人民,让人民了解消费税。

最后,因为消费税会影响各行业和人民,所以政府在实行时,应该确保实行时有足够设施和人力,以确保顺利地进行。

Friday, February 12, 2010

GST, its impact, concern and ways to mitigate

adapted from THE EDGE MALAYSIA

The Goods Service Tax (GST), also known as value added tax, was tabled for first reading in Parliament in Dec 16, 2009. The system has already been implemented in 143 countries. Only three Southeast Asian do not practise this taxation system - Malaysia, Brunei and Myanmar.

The government has said that the introduction of GST is necessary to create an alternative source of revenue. Other possible reasons for implementing GST are:

a) The average birth rate is 2.2, so it is expected that by 2030, 12% of the population will be above 60 years old, double the current number. The current 15% of the working population paying taxes will therefore reduce, putting a greater burden on a smaller group of people. GST is a broad-based tax that distribute the burden of taxation among a larger section of the population based on consumption.

b) GST preserve the incentive to work and encourages enterprise as it is not a progressive income tax. The tax rate does not increase according to income level, it is flat at the determined rate.

c) GST is levied at the production and distribution stages, thereby incorporating a self-policing mechanism that facilitates administration and makes it more difficult to avoid or evade. This further reduces the possibility of revenue loss through understatement of tax evasion.

d) The GST model implemented in Malaysia is not expected to have cascading, or pyramiding, effect as the tax on a particular good depends upon its final value, and not the number of production and distribution channel it passes through. Furthermore, the output tax to be paid will be offset against the input tax, and there is no GST levied over GST.

e) GST is expected to provide a more stable source of revenue as consumption is less affected by economic cycles compared to income tax.

f) GST can be an effective tax on the ‘shadow economy’, as those involved would consume, and thus pay indirect taxes through GST. It is likely that involved in such activities would buy luxury goods, which would be subjected to GST.

h) The government is cutting its operating expenditure for 2010 by 13%. This shows it is aware of the growing deficit that has widened due to the stimulus package. Recently, Fitch rating agency has cut the rating of the ringgit, which may cause imported inflation if it depreciates, and the International Monetary Fund commented that the GST needs to be implemented urgently.



Some Concern about the introduction of GST

Inflation

Based on the data on the introduction of GST in Singapore, Australia, New Zealand and Canada, there is a one-off inflation associated with the implementation of GST.

In Malaysia, it was announced that essential goods and services will be not subject to GST. But fears that GST will spark a chain reaction that will increase the prices of most non-controlled items should not be dismissed. We have seen numerous examples of when there is an increase in a certain commodity, it sparks a price rise in most goods and services. For example, when the petrol price increased to RM2.70, prices of most goods, foods and services were hiked. But after the petrol price dropped, there has not been a substantial correction in the prices of goods, food and services.

The relevant ministries are powerless to mitigate the situation and curb the necessary inflation. A recent example is on the removal of the subsidy on white bread resulting in price increase of one loaf of bread by 20 to 30 cents. The Deputy Domestic Trade, Cooperative & Consumer Affairs Minister can only comment that the price adjustment was not necessary, urge traders to practice corporate social responsibility and call on the consumers to execute their power in hand. All these statements will not effectively curb excessive profiteering and traders taking opportunity to increase the price of goods and service. The public would want to know how the government intends to avoid the similar predicament when GST is introduced.

Impact on the people in the street

Generally, the public is concerned that the introduction of GST will hit their wallets directly.

In an initial assessment, as the GST is expected to be lower than service tax, the bill for a restaurant meal will be 1% lower as the service tax rate is 5% and GST is 4%. For other services liable to service tax, a GST rate lower than service tax should result in a slight decrease in charges if the cost of the other components in providing the service remain the same.

On goods that attract sales tax, the current rate seems higher than the proposed GST, hence there might be a reduction if there is no further adjustment. Current rates are as follows;
• Fruits, certain foodstuff and building materials (5%)
• General goods, including motor vehicle (10%)
• Liquor and alcoholic drinks (20%)
• Cigarette and cheroots (25%)

For hawkers - even though they do not have a turnover of RM500,000 yearly, so are not required collect GST - the material procured, for example, noodles, fish balls, processed meat, chicken, equipments for the stall may be subjected to GST, resulting in price hike. But without detailed knowledge or mapping, or even information on the duties charged, the people are uncertain whether the prices of goods and services will remain stagnant, increase or decrease.


Lack of information and confusion on GST

Many articles on the GST have appeared in the media, some negative, some positive. But the piecemeal release of information is creating great concern among the people and in the business sector. For example;

1. Will the authorities furnish an extensive list of item that will be charged GST, and what will be exempted?
2. If a product – like rice or chicken - is exempted, does the exemption apply across the board regardless of the form of the product? For example, is cooked rice or cut, frozen or marinated chicken also exempted?
3. What is the difference between exempt and zero-rated GST?
4. Will there be any reduction in personal and corporate tax?
5. What changes will be made to the sales and service tax?
6. There is a perception that as GST is a multistage tax, it would result in higher effective tax rate than 4%. As GST is very technical, most people are unaware how it will impact them.
7. When will the GST rate be reviewed?

Recent media statement on its impact did not improve opinion on the introduction of GST. It is reported that under the sales and services tax system, the burden on the poor is 2.38%, but under the GST it will be 2.17%. For the higher income group, the tax burden will be reduced from 13% to 2.74%, according to the Finance Ministry. The overall savings for households will be between RM14.52 and RM346.92 yearly. This clearly contradicts other statement from politicians, and the public perception, that the GST will be inflationary. But as no further details are provided on how the savings are arrived at, public sentiment remains negative on GST.

Impact on businesses

The implementation of GST is expected to impact business in the following manner:

a) Compliance costs are expected to be incurred as there is requirement to track the input tax and output tax to determine refund or tax to be submitted. Even though some Malaysian companies are already paying sales tax or service tax, there was no input tax to be monitored and accounted for to offset against output tax.

b) Business process and procurement need to be mapped out, especially with respect to suppliers and promotional items. For example, a new car attract GST, but items provided for free during promotion - like sports rims or a GPS system – may not be eligible for an input tax claim. Likewise the corporate souvenirs and hampers given out by businesses may bot be eligible.

The procurement department should start detailing the sales tax or the existing tax paid for their items used a raw material. As the GST is expected to be lower than most current indirect tax, there should be some potential cost savings. This is also to avoid being overcharged by supplier that intends to add the GST over the existing price of its supplies after sales tax, there should be some potential cost saving.

c) Human resource factor: New staff may need to be employed to ensure a business is compliant and conversant with the GST requirement. As most staff have not been exposed to GST, training needs to be conducted.

d) Accounting system and account payable: The business would require an appropriate accounting system to keep track of the GST amounts. Most systems could be upgraded, and it is important to notify software vendors to test run the data to avoid any potential complication.


e) Cash flow management: Businesses should be aware that output GST may have to be settled before settlement of sales invoices by customer. Meanwhile, payables on which input tax has been claimed but remains unpaid after six months have to be accounted as output tax and are to be reclaimed as input tax only after payment is made. Businesses are concerned about the timeliness of the refund process as delays would results in a higher working capital cost.
In addition, businesses that have thin margins are worried about the speed of the refund for input tax, especially if the business is mainly exported-oriented and procures its raw material locally.

Readiness of the authorities system

The business community, NGO and charity organization are concerned about the ability of the authorities to implement GST smoothly. Australia, for example, had to bring in foreign experts to help in rollout of GST. It would be undermine investor confidence if the GST is not implemented in a structured manner with minimal hiccup.

Burdening the poor and those economically vulnerable: Some 32% of the household in Malaysia have an income under RM2,000 per month. The introduction of GST without the necessary revamp of subsidies will result in a heavier financial burden on poor and low-income families. Families with an income below RM2,000 a month do not have to pay personal income tax. With GST, things that are not basic necessities - toys, processed food, can food, packet drinks, and so on – could increase existing inflationary pressures. The ongoing restructuring of the subsidy will also create the tension, discomfort and dissatisfaction as people eligible for subsidy could unintentionally be left out as the government establishes and tries to refine its method of distribution.

The Possibility of another flip-flop

The GST was supposed to be implemented before the 13th general election but was postponed. There is a general opinion that if the economic condition does not improve, or the negative sentiments against the establishment of GST are severe, it will not be introduced. As such, most businesses are not going full swing into starting until they are very sure GST will be happen.

Usage of the revenue collected

Revenue collected from GST is expected to be about RM13billion, compared to the budgeted indirect tax collection of RM12billion. Though GST will enable the Government to reduce the deficit or create an alternative source of revenue, the massive wastage, corruption and abuses that occur have diminished public confidence in the benefits of providing the government with an additional source of revenue. The Port Klang Free Zone financial fiasco, issues highlighted in auditor-general report, the lack of transparency in the Naza land deal and the collapse of a new building in Terengganu has put the spotlight on the government’s ineffectiveness in curbing potential abuses and leakages. So creating a new source of revenue would not resolve the government’s problem or provide the confidence that this new source of revenue will be put to good use.


(This is first part of a two-part series)

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

蔡智勇:人口持续老化 消费税成税收替代来源



文:《星洲日报》

(吉隆坡)馬華消費稅特別小組主任蔡智勇說,大馬的出生率從6.2%下降至2.2%,預料2030年超過60歲的人口將占總人口的12%,在人口持續老化及納稅人減少的情況下,消費稅將成為政府稅收的替代來源。

他指出,大馬的傳統所得稅制度僅牽涉15%工作人口,從長遠看,人口老化將導致納稅人數萎縮,消費稅能將稅收平均分布到大批人口手上;目前世界共有143個國家徵收消費稅,而東盟僅有3國未實施該制度,即大馬、汶萊及緬甸。

“消費稅是‘累退稅’(regressive tax),其稅率統一,不會隨產品價格浮動;它也不是‘乘數稅’,不會出現‘層疊效應’(cascading effect);若某人以100令吉購買一樣產品,支付4令吉消費稅,過後以200令吉賣出,所收取的8令吉消費稅將扣除之前繳付的4令吉,因此,他只需向政府繳納4令吉稅款。”

他在新聞發佈會上說,實施消費稅並沒“最適合的時間”,因為紐西蘭落實消費稅制時,紐西蘭的失業率為10%;不過,他認為在經濟復蘇時才推行將能減緩衝擊。

“目前消費者也不清楚哪些產品須付銷售稅及服務稅,也不知道稅款是否有歸還給政府,消費稅的制度將更加統一及清晰。”

他透露,大馬的管制物價單位執法寬松,讓人民失去信心,好比最近面粉的津貼降低,一些商家竟把面粉價抬高20至30仙;因此,當局必須加強執法,以免一些商家在消費稅推行時趁機牟利。

他說,消費稅法案將於3月提呈國會二讀,距離其落實日期,即明年中旬僅有18個月時間。

他說,大馬32%家庭的月均收入低於2000令吉,政府必須詳細列出免付消費稅的產品,以兌現消費稅不會加劇貧窮人士負擔的承諾。

出席新闻发布会的包括该小组成员拿督斯里冯镇安、卢诚国、林熙杰及陈国永。